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Merrill bullish on Silver Wheaton, bearish on silver prices long-term

Trading Desk submits: Merrill Lynch initiated coverage on Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE: SLW) last week with a "buy" rating on the Vancouver-based mining company.

Saying the company is undervalued compared to its peers, analyst Michael Jalonen believes Silver Wheaton is trading at an approximate 15% discount to the North American precious metals average.

He set a 12-month target for the stock of US$13.50 per share, or roughly 30% upside from the company's current share price.

In 2006, Silver Wheaton, the world's only mining company that derives 100% of its revenues from the sale of silver, had sales of 13.5 million ounces and ranked second among the world's silver sellers.

The company expects to expand its silver sales from 15 million to 20 million ounces between 2007 and 2009, Mr. Jalonen said in a research note.

Meanwhile, the company's total cash costs should remain below US$4 an ounce based on its long-term silver purchase agreements, he said.

The price of silver today in comparison, ranges from US$13 to US$14 an ounce.

Mr. Jalonen's estimates the price will continue to rise this year reaching as high as US$13.75 an ounce before dropping back to US$13 in 2008 and US$12 in 2009. His long-term silver price forecast is $10 an ounce.